Latest News & Earnings

DATA RELEASE
2-Year Treasury Yield
4.56%
+5 bp

The 2-year, the maturity that tracks Fed expectations most closely, is back at 4.56% after a 5 basis point move. Traders are pricing less easing, and that repricing hits rate-sensitive equities first.

Source: FRED · DGS2
DATA RELEASE
10Y-2Y Treasury Yield Spread
+0.25 pp
-7 bp

The curve is flattening toward zero again: the 10Y-2Y spread gave up 7 basis points to +25 bp, still positive but thinner than at any point this year. Banks, long-duration bonds and anything priced off the recession signal feel this first.

Source: FRED · T10Y2Y

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Anthropic Targets $1.4 Trillion Valuation in Blockbuster IPO

  • Anthropic's deal: up to $90.4B raised, $70-$78 range, Nvidia in for a $10B private placement
  • Retail expected to take 15-20% of the deal; Dario Amodei and Jamie Dimon to headline an IPO livestream
  • Deutsche Bank's Matt Luzzetti now sees three more 25bp Fed hikes after hot CPI
  • WEX CEO: fuel prices up 43% year over year, AI-driven fraud attempts up 12x since 2022

Nvidia is writing a $10 billion check into the first frontier AI lab to go public while its own board hires outside counsel for a probe, and JPMorgan is fronting the roadshow stage. Deutsche Bank is now calling for hikes in December, January and March, which is the opposite of what this IPO's pricing assumes.

Freedom vs. Safety: Axon CEO Rick Smith on the Future of Policing

  • Rick Smith retraces Axon's near-bankruptcy, dot-com IPO at a $12M valuation, short attack and SEC probe
  • Pivot from hardware to cloud software after Ferguson; body cams now handle more daily video uploads than YouTube
  • Axon is now Skydio's largest investor with nearly half the company, locking up public-safety drones
  • Taser-equipped drone program defended after ethics board resignations; hard limits on autonomous lethal force

The Skydio stake points to where the next leg of growth comes from: drones and robotics sold into the same police agencies already paying for cloud video. Smith frames regulation as guardrails, which matters for a business whose contracts live or die on public sentiment after the ethics board walkouts.

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Market explainer · After the close

US stocks closed lower; Technology lags while Financials and Communication Services lead

  • S&P 500-0.4%
  • Nasdaq 100-0.7%
  • Dow-0.3%
  • Russell 2000-0.7%

Per CNBC, the S&P 500 fell, dragged down by a Nvidia sell-off and rate-hike fears after hot inflation data.

LeadingFinancials +0.5%Energy +0.4%Communication Services +0.4%
LaggingTechnology -1.2%Materials -0.2%Utilities -0.1%