Akamai Surges 15% on $11.6B Anthropic Cloud Deal; CoreWeave and Cloudflare Tick Up
Anthropic just signed a multibillion-dollar cloud deal with a company Wall Street has never thought of as an AI infrastructure player, and the stock reaction is raising a bigger question about who really wins the AI compute race.
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Anthropic just handed Akamai Technologies (NASDAQ:AKAM | AKAM Price Prediction) a multibillion-dollar cloud commitment, and Wall Street is repricing the longtime content delivery company as a serious artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure provider. Akamai stock is up 15% to $127.49 in morning trading, a move that leaves the rest of the cloud group far behind.
Sympathy buying is reaching other cloud names, though in far smaller doses than the surge in Akamai stock. CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) shares are up 1% to $91.40, a modest lift for the AI-focused cloud provider. Similarly, Cloudflare (NYSE:NET) stock is up 1% to $362.58, matching the gain in CoreWeave shares.
The First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (NASDAQ:SKYY) is up 2%, a gain that looks small beside Akamai stock. Meanwhile, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up 0.3%, a quiet background that frames the jump in Akamai stock as a company-specific reassessment.
Anthropic Signs a Seven-Year Deal With Akamai
Under a newly disclosed seven-year agreement, Akamai is set to supply Anthropic with cloud infrastructure and software services valued at $11.6 billion. Anthropic’s central processing unit (CPU) workloads are the focus, running on Akamai Cloud’s distributed infrastructure, and Anthropic holds an option to expand its commitment further across the term. As part of the arrangement, Akamai issued Anthropic a warrant to purchase non-voting convertible Series B preferred stock, with vesting tied to contract milestones.
Tom Leighton is Akamai’s co-founder and chief executive. He stated, “Anthropic is advancing the AI revolution and we are thrilled they chose Akamai’s capabilities for building and operating AI infrastructure at scale.” The contract adds to multi-year cloud infrastructure commitments Akamai announced earlier in the year.
Capital Spending Runs Ahead of Revenue
Akamai’s upside depends on a long-dated revenue commitment that puts it in front of AI compute work that has historically gone to the largest cloud providers (we featured seven other non-chipmaker AI infrastructure suppliers, from power to networking, in a free report you can grab here). Winning Anthropic’s CPU workloads gives Akamai a reference customer at the top of the AI market, and that validation could help in future contract talks.
One catch: Akamai estimates total capital expenditures tied to the commitment at approximately $5.5 billion, arriving ahead of the revenue it’s meant to generate. Management told investors the agreement has no impact on Akamai’s full-year revenue guidance.
That tension leaves Akamai carrying a heavy obligation through the build phase. Spending before revenue arrives could pressure margins and cash flow, even if the contract proves highly profitable over its full term, and Anthropic’s warrant, tied to contract milestones, also gives the AI developer a potential equity claim on Akamai.
Akamai Pulls Away From the Cloud Pack
The move in Akamai stock runs far ahead of the cloud group, marking a revaluation of Akamai itself rather than a broad sector rally.
Heading into the session, Akamai stock carried a market cap of $15.87 billion, putting the Anthropic contract on the same order of magnitude as the whole company. Starting the year at $87.25, Akamai stock was already on a strong run. Even after the jump, it remains below its 52-week high of $165.45.
Cloudflare stock began the year at $197.15, and CoreWeave shares started it at $71.61, so both entered the Akamai news with substantial gains behind them. Those two stocks trade largely on company-specific AI growth stories, so their smaller gains look like sympathy buying tied to Akamai’s deal.
What to Watch Next
Whether Akamai has bought its way into AI infrastructure or signed up for a long-term obligation is the question these figures don’t settle, and investors may want to watch for updates on how quickly Akamai brings the Anthropic capacity online.
After a jump this large, investors adding Akamai to their portfolios should keep their position sizes moderate and build their stakes in stages. Akamai stock could remain volatile while the capital spending plan sinks in.
Existing Akamai holders may want to weigh their allocation against the risk that capital spending pressures earnings before Anthropic revenue increases. A diversified cloud fund offers a smaller slice of Akamai alongside its peers. Clarity on the Anthropic build-out could arrive with Akamai’s next quarterly report.
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